Oh, you’re on a sleep medication that interferes with your capacity for self-control? Sounds like you shouldn’t be in a high-stress job with lots of responsibility and power.

Just listened to Selzer break down her methodology in clear, simple terms. I’m starting to think the polling error this cycle is pretty big, and Harris is going to win handily.

I’m strongly in favor of 117. I like 118 in theory, but after reading it, I voted against it, because I think the end result would be to damage small Oregon businesses, while large conglomerates would be fine. I don’t want Walmarts to be the only businesses that can afford to operate here.

Yes, I already said, we know you want Donald Trump elected. He won’t be. Move on.

Yes, we know you want Donald Trump elected. He won’t be. Move on.

Don’t vote for a write-in candidate for president. Vote for Harris. If a state or local election has a credible, left-leaning write-in candidate opposing an otherwise-unopposed conservative, definitely do write that one in.

I’ve noticed the same. When Biden was still in, support for him was of the “grim determination” variety. But as soon as he bowed out, it shifted to practically jubilant support for Harris.

So glad to see that shift.

If Iowa goes blue, then the election overall is very likely going to be a landslide for Harris.

Whataboutism. Doesn’t directly address the fact that Trump made a death threat.

That one’s a classic.

Quality post. I really did think I was reading an Onion headline.

And I have to admit, the first time I saw the guy in my neighborhood who bought one driving it around, I pointed and laughed too.

One difference: Biden is president. He’s not going to put up with any of the bullshit Trump and his cronies got up to in 2020.

Predictions:

• The perpetrator is a Republican.
• His excuse will be, “Everyone does it and no one gets caught,” despite getting caught.
• Other Republicans will continue to believe in imaginary Democratic voter fraud, while ignoring instances of actual fraud like this one from their own party members.

I don’t understand these guys. They know what they’re doing, and they know it’s to help a sick and despotic country wreck the United States. If that effort is successful… what do they think their dollars will be worth when the “full faith and credit of the United States of America” no longer means anything?

Yep, they’re trying it again. Flood the zone with shitty polls from fly-by-night pollsters, make it look like a “red wave,” and try to turn it into a self-fulfilling prophecy. If it works, they look like geniuses. If it fails, they claim rigging.

If you live in a swing state, you’re actively helping save the country. Thank you!

Hey, I hear you. And given the threat Trump poses, it’s important to stay vigilant.

But I genuinely believe we’ve got this. Trump will never be in the White House again.

And early voting data actually looks terrific for Harris. Early turnout in Democratic-leaning areas all over the country is unprecedented.

Thank you. I’m getting very tired of the sudden influx of doom and gloom when the actual data points to a likely Harris win and bullshit from Republican pollsters.

So a conservative luddite bias.

Guys, chill. Breathe. Calm the fuck down.

First off, Harris hasn’t been “losing ground” for a month. This change reflects a few tight polls in some swing states, while she’s still ahead of Trump in most of them.

Second, early voting shows ludicrously massive turnout for Harris, something that didn’t happen with Clinton. Harris is not Clinton 2.0, stop pretending she is.

Third - and I can’t believe I keep having to say this - polling is fuuuuuucked right now. None of the pollsters, large or small, know what to do with a young electorate that votes but doesn’t answer unsolicited phone calls or texts. They’re heavily relying on all sorts of assumptions to weight what little data they have, and using lots of focus groups.

Fourth, there is a huge enthusiasm gap, and it’s obvious. Trump isn’t filling tiny venues anymore, while Harris is filling stadiums.

Now is not the time to just give up, all right?