I feel like I’m a really good judge of character; I can tell if I’m not going to get along with someone or how they will treat me in the future. When it comes to high profile celebrity figures, i can get a sense of their character through very minimal data. This is why I predict Andrew Tate (toxic manosphere influencer) will pivot into becoming an alien conspiracy influence. But I have no evidence for it, thus the prediction is baseless.
Anyone have any similar beliefs/predictions?
Mass famine and lots of people starving in death and be killed by other people with guns. A more optimistic prediction will be a solar punk future eventually some day
Pretty sure I’m going to find myself in some kind of mass migration by highway, get identified at a checkpoint as politically unacceptable in some way, then get moved to a large empty sports stadium with about 1-2 hundred other people, then get marched out onto the field and shot. I saw it very vividly in a dream that did not fade after waking up.
I think AI desktop apps like claude desktop will replace the web browser.
Have you seen Elysium?
Yeah…pretty much that. In some form or another. It won’t necessarily be the wealthy people blasting off to a space station, more likely just hiding away on luxury islands while the rest of the world continues to go to shit.
I’ve heard New Zealand is a popular place for that.
- Microsoft will unironically release their own Linux distro
Already happened in 2020.
Azure Linux is a Microsoft-maintained, open-source Linux distribution built for Azure. It provides a lightweight, security-hardened operating system for virtual machines (VMs), containers, and Kubernetes clusters running on Azure infrastructure.
https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/azure-linux/azure-linux-overview
Ooh, I like this one.
With their own proprietary fork of Wine, which of course doesn’t work as well as the original.
WSL already exists, I think you have a baseline for this
Trump will live to be 102 just because life isn’t fair
The longer he lives, the more time he has to live with the consequences that catch up to him.
gop WILL trying to bury his role in all this, and try to “move on”
Smart move on his part is to die as close to inauguration day as possible, but not beyond it.
Okay now it’s weird how many people are citing things i’ve also thought about!
I expect him to be a quite significant figure in history textbooks, hopefully as an example of how not to lead, as the USA’s version of King Henry VIII of England, and the reason why the constitution and electoral system was changed. A rare example of president->prison pieline taking place in the USA.
However. It just feels like he has some unholy power to prolong our suffering and tank any blows to his career or even his life. I fuoly expect that he’ll stay alive as long as possible which wiol prevent americans talking so candidly bout him.
Or maybe it’ll allow trump to see every last member of his cult turn on him. Maga voters will finally admit that whoever comes after trump is better, they haven’t seen lasting change or security following his regime, and it wasn’t at all worth the humiliation they subjected themselves to. They’re like a really toxic F-ed up college fraternity.
I’ll allow it, but only in prison.
We will see WWIII in my life time (next 50 years, if I’m lucky).
It will be started over something that will seem incredibly silly, in hindsight.
We’re already in WW3
If we’re already in a world war, it should really be called world war 4 or 5. This has the global reach comparable to Vietnam or the Russia/Afghanistan conflict.
I think historians will likely be deciding if we are already in ww3 or not. Although I’m quite surprised China hasn’t moved on Taiwan
My spidey senses tell me that will be coming shortly.
Yeah, I wonder if China is trying to figure out how to short the markets without the other hedge fund bros figuring out what’s gonna happen. Because the second chip shipments cease is the second this ai circlejerk house of cards musical chairs pass the iou game comes to an end. And then we see the k shaped economy turn into the greatest depression.
I totally agree. If recent Iran conflict war had gone much further or had successfully roped in the USA’s NATO allies, it would have fit all those criterias.
It shows that we teeter on a precipice above the pit of wartime
Spoiler alert from a shipping and oil guy: it ain’t over yet, not by a long shot.
At least that’s what the people with real money are betting.
We’ve gotten really comfortable at being 11 seconds to midnight. Anything pushes us past 12am
Water?
More likely the way one politician limply holds their wrist while pouring water for another politician; or some equally arcane “power move”.
With so many AI data centres needing so much power and none seeming to use solar power etc, we’ll start seeing “grid rationing” where suburbs will get “time zones” where there will be power and no power.
Instead of people rising up or pushing back, they will get distracted by arguing that certain/richer suburbs get prioitised more than lower class suburbs.
Welcome to third world life.
Plus water supply rationing, like in Cuba
…god dam it i can see that coming too
Yes, they will dam it
I’m sure AI can be used to solve the problems that might introduce :-)
they just end up charging people more for gas/electric and water instead of charging the datacenter owners.
The AI bubble will burst sometime in 2027/early 2028.
Trump will use the financial collapse as an excuse to suspend elections.
The majority will be too busy scrambling to survive to complain.
Same to first statement, i actually forgot trump would be around by 27 and 28 (because i’m not american), and that theory all lines up
he needs to keep the epstein files from being discussed, Dems dont seem to keen on trying to release it, they are just stringing it along, despite them "claiming they will do it.
Oligarchs, frustrated with dealing with their political sockpuppets, start just buying countries.
Venezuela, a prod member of ExxonMobil Conoco-Phillips
Taiwan, brought to you by Nvidia
argentina, most of them will likely flee there, not russia, since putin will likely find a window for you and steal your assets down the line.
it’s not called Republic of Samsung for nothing
Seems very plausible.
As a kid i always wondered why countries didn’t buy up parts of other countries to avoid bloodshed for territory.
I still figure it could work really well for wealthy governments like Switzerland but i now realise that:
A) A country’s proper area is very important to it, especially an “ancient” country like Switzerland’s neighbours,
B) Citizens do cause a fuss about having their leaders change undemocratically or suddenly - it could make taxes or travel different - and they tend to revolt at sudden unconsented change like that, even if it’s only surface level.
I see this being most likely to occur for places like middle eastern oil states, so Oligarchs is definitely the right conditionality. Or big empires like the USA and China
One stratagem is to buy up the territory and then be mindful of the needs of those who are already on it.
The problem is, when we’re rich and powerful, it’s just way to easy to indulge our racist and classist proclivities, and then do a genocide.
Seriously, we humans just haven’t evolved past the bush tribes we were fifty thousand years ago.
The united stated purchased a bunch of territory.
Yes, true. Could have been known as the great merchant empire, but it’s overshadowed by their attempts and successes at military conquest and coup d’etats instead.
The world order will collapse when brainrot GenZ will take the reins
Nah. Gen Z is going to end up like Gen X. It is Gen Alpha which is going to kill us all if the Boomers don’t already do it.
Imagine people progressively got soo dumb that one day we just forgot how to keep the technology working and went back to being cavemen.
I don’t want to think about it but probably. I, as a GenZ, see them as very similar to boomers but with a kind of restlessness they will apply to inappropriate contexts. Boomers for all their faults are good at only tapping into their blood pressure dysregulation to kill people or advocate for war or racism, GenZ is just in a transient state between chaotic or tranquilised, so i could see a GenZ world leader firing a nuke for fun or something. But hey.
Not completely baseless, but Florida is going to go bankrupt one year and cause a major political problem for the US.
How does Disney factor into this prediction? I’ve never been there, but it seems like an oasis in the middle of a shit desert (speaking mostly about its ability to manage itself and just generally function).
disney, and HOME insurance is one of the things besides disney keeping it afloat. nobody wants to risk insuring a disaster prone state.
It doesn’t help that DeSantis’s anti-Disney push was around the time that Disney was in the process of moving more corporate jobs from California to Florida, which Disney stopped doing after the fiasco.
However, what will likely cause a collapse is that Florida has gotten into hurricane home insurance. If there is a bad year for Florida, Florida might not be able to cover the payouts for insurance claims. Combined with its current housing price slump already, and Florida may have major issues down the road.
i heard people are paying double/triple the premiums for home insurance. plus all the snowbirds/retirement folks going there are rethinking thier plans.
I know someone in Florida who pays about 40% more than me in home owners insurance, despite my mid-Atlantic house being worth ~2.5x as much.
a lot of people that retire there tend to be rich people, canadians too. and they likely arnt buying the ones close to the coast?
If they move on with removing taxes on property the political and operational shot show of cities and counties without cash turning to special assessments and creating fees for school police and public services, essentially taxes that can raise without being voted, and with less supervision, that will make the “no step on snake” crowd revolt because gvmnt services without payment seems to be their thing.
I think there will be some crazy scientific breakthrough that will change everything.
Totally baseless, and it’s mostly the idiot optimist inside me that believes it, but I kind of have to believe it else I’ll go bananaser then I already am.
AI has honestly changed a lot about my life/intended life plan. Especially when it was released, it basically rolled out as i graduated high school.
I actually started out in a creative/arts based degree but quit it early on, so i think to a lot of people it looked like i was scared of AI stealing my job. I wasn’t back then, but i now kind of am concerned that scummy employers will lay-off a lot of people and try to have AI do their work in that field.
Anyway not to say AI fits your description, as it doesn’t really, but it indicates to me that sense of tumultuous change. Likewise, covid. That changed everything too. I don’t think these things come in pairs but in waves, removed the chsnge of the 19th and 20th centuries.
To me, AI is most impactful in ways it was originally created for: combing through large data sets to make connections, even if that data set is a picture, or fifty of them. E.g., an ai was used to look at pictures taken with a microscope and it was able to pick out different structures/organisms without staining. Similar systems were also used to find discrete hints of far off galaxies than astronomers would struggle to detect without making their data quite noisy.
The big companies had nothing to do with these afaik, especially since the researchers that wrote the papers used machine learning in there methodology instead of the colloquial “AI”, which I will always see as a misnomer until such time an AI is generally accepted to be someone, which I don’t believe will happen anytime soon with our level of technology and failing biosphere.
And I think it will come from AI. It’s either that or aliens, and only one of those two actually exist.
Eh, maybe AI adjacent, and certainly not from the big ai companies.
Geoengineering to combat climate change by mass carbon capture will be the solution that saves humanity but will arrive too late to prevent some harrowing effects.
Self-driving vehicles will become good enough to technically be safer for passengers than human drivers soon, but the stigma around them will continue for a long time after they are road legal and their uptake will be very slow.
countries dont seem interested in combatting climate change at all. plus there is one country that solely funds anti-climate change as thier economy depends on it, combined with the rest of the oil-gas industry. trying to get funding for research about climate change is a little dicey too.
Any idea if mass carbon capture could undo runaway venus-like greenhouse effects? I have no hope that humanity will put up with even minor inconveniences until lead starts melting at room temperature at the equator. It would give me hope if there was a way to undo runaway greenhouse processes.
It seems kind of unlikely. It could be part of an array of solutions. Right now it captures something like 0.1%. That means it would take 1000 times the current infrastructure to support it, including carbon-neutral energy to cover the additional energy costs. All that is assuming 100% carbon capture is even viable. Even then, that doesn’t solve the problem of the carbon that’s already in the environment, which will continue to warm the earth for centuries.
There’s an interesting emergency option: Stratospheric aerosol injection.
If we got to the point where the runaway effect was unavoidable, it might be possible to use this before civilization starts to collapse. It would probably have a lot of nasty side effects, but it might be able to buy enough time for CO2 levels to come back down. At least civilization could survive in some form.
It’d really be cool to see Venus colonized following some greenhouse gas cleanup like that.
Couldn’t disagree more with either of those takes. Self driving cars won’t be safer even theoretically given unsolvable problems and will almost certainly lead to even worse pedestrian rights and make our cities so much worse. That solution to climate change isn’t realistic of feasible at all we need if we are going to solve it massive systematic change and an end to capitalism.
What are the unsolvable problems with autonomous cars? Also I agree it is a bad thing for pedestrian rights and cities in general.
the decision making problem is the obvious one. there are an infinite number of possible edge cases to deal with when it comes to driving a car on roads with humans. current strategies require a bespoke solution to pretty much all of them, meaning tons of common edge cases arent covered and the vehicles will take potentially wildly inappropriate actions in unhandled cases, without even considering false positive or false negative detection of handled edge cases. this problem will never go away, and if you could make a computer that could do it as reliably as a human it would basically be agi. its a sisyphian problem that isnt going to be solved before we remember how great trains and streets without cars are.
that saves humanity but will arrive too late to prevent some harrowing effects.
One harrowing thing i expect is for there to be mass migration attributed to climate change - after all, we already see mass migration for smaller reasons, so even if they don’t strictly speaking need to move north (or south), i think new media and scientists will just attribute any migration that occurs as being climate-
influenceddriven.Arguably a good thing, if it raises peoples’ concerns for climate change. I think this is why a lot of RWers dismiss climate change as a hoax though, because of its connection to mass exodus from the “globsl south”. Two things can be true.
I expect we will lose some entire settlements, coastal ones. I think Egypt will get messed uo because of their weird relationship with water, and major cities with major sea defence projects are ones to look out for - they’re ramping up sea defences in New York right now, making me think something is coming (next 20 years or so)
I think the earth is going to metaphorically say enough is enough and step in to fix climate change because humans are too selfish and greedy to do it ourselves. I think this is going to come by way of a massive volcanic eruption that causes short term global cooling while killing a good chunk of the population across a large geographical area both from the immediate disaster and the resulting long term damage from widespread ash/famine that could result.
The earth has been through many many climate changes, this isn’t the first, it isn’t the last
The earth don’t care, it keeps chugging along, no it’s us that won’t survive
Yeah i think that too! Great example, fits with the “no evidence” aspect
