If you have a materialist worldview and understand class relationships, you can generally come out of most situations with the correct take without knowing the details.

  • It’s not vibes, I just assume by default that everything said by the US Departments of State or Defense is a lie and that the opposite is true.

    This has only lead me astray one time, regarding the Russian “invasion”* of Ukraine, where after saying that was a threat for years I assumed they were lying and it did actually happen

    *Invasion seems like a strong word for entering an ongoing conflict that’s been raging on your border for years

    • ShimmeringKoi [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      2 months ago

      Even that was less of a prediction and more of a promise, seeing how in the week leading up to the intervention, the shelling of the Donbas intensified wildly. Remember during that week or so, when Biden was going on TV every day saying “The Russians are going to attack Ukraine today! Er, *tomorrow!. Uh, I meant the next day!”