• Zaktor@sopuli.xyzEnglish
    14·
    4 months ago

    This seems like a pretty obvious hierarchy of needs situation. Swingier reps are worried about losing their job entirely, while safer reps are worried about their status and influence in the caucus if they rebel.

    Also, I’ve seen it at least hypothesized that there’s a lot of calculus going on with whether a public statement would actually influence Biden in their preferred direction. If the Squad came out en masse to advocate for Biden stepping down would that make him more or less likely to do so? Seems like it would have at best limited impact and very well could backfire.

  • PugJesus@lemmy.worldEnglish
    7·
    4 months ago

    Biden doubters also hail disproportionately from swing states or districts. Thirteen out of 37 represent places that Biden lost in 2020 or won by fewer than 10 percentage points. This makes sense when you think about it: The reelection of representatives like Rep. Susan Wild could hinge on how well the Democratic presidential nominee does in their districts, and they may fear that Biden will drag them down with him if he loses big.

    … yes, that’s kind of why we’re worried.

    To be sure, it would be a political crisis for Biden to have even one elected Democrat saying he should drop out, let alone 10.

    So this is, like, 20x crisis?

    • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
      3·
      4 months ago

      In tight districts even Biden winning a state could be a loss for the rep. Democrats could lose a +2 seat in a +5 state if the election ends up at 51/49.