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Esk 🐌⚡💜 (@[email protected])
hachyderm.io@thisismissem @mekkaokereke @dma so stats, based on dec 2024 exit run rate (rounded for simplicity):
#hachyderm costs about $1600/mo to run. this is up somewhat, as we've started to add some infra as part of our resilience plan announced in nov.
we currently have about:
- 55000 users
- 9700 MAU
- 3.7M toots
yielding:
- $.03/user/mo
- $.16/active user/mo
- $.0004/toot
from a raw compute & storage perspective.
again, this is based on 100% volunteer work. today, our mods and infra folk graciously donate their time to keep this thing going.
hypothetically, if we paid them, say, $120k USD/yr (chose this to make the math cleaner), that would add $10k/person/mo to the cost.
if we go with a staff of eight (mix of mod & infra), that adds $80k/mo to the run rate, for a total of $81,600/mo, yielding:
- $1.48/user/mo
- $8.41/active user/mo
- the toot figure is silly, so i'm not calculating it again :blobfoxlaugh:
orders of magnitude of difference.
we could argue about the staff size - i went with roughly what we have today and assumed we made everyone full time so they could hachy for 32/hr/wk vs. calculating the number of hours we actually work. e.g. maybe we could it out at ~$4.50/user/mo, but still a multiple orders of magnitude bump from the raw infra cost.
And then the people will move elsewhere
Isn’t that the point of federation, to be able to use another node if needed?
No. Being able to move is an advantage compared to centralized platforms, but it is not the “point” of it. It makes the system overall more robust, but it doesn’t guarantee or protect the individuals that are part of it.
Do you think that the world wide web would reach the size that it has today if websites had such a short shelf-life? Of course not. It would remain just a geeky curiosity, just like Lemmy or Mastodon. There is a reason why Bluesky is adding one million users per week while we are here counting the same dozen of active people since summer 2023. People generally do not care about how the system works, they just want to something that helps them achieve their goals or solves their problems.
I know you like hyperboles, but Bsky’s growth slowed quite a bit:
The main reason it’s much more successful than Mastodon is content discoverability
Agreed. And the problem Reddit and Lemmy solve is becoming a niche issue
What a silly remark. Yeah, of course (percentage-wise) they slowed down. Do you think that would see 190% growth every month?
You are talking about the symptoms, but you are ignoring the diagnostic. The reason that Bluesky has a superior product at the moment is because they HAVE MONEY. They can go and hire people, they can invest in infrastructure, they can spend on marketing, they can go cut out deals with other service providers.
Meanwhile, the Mastodon devs are all sharing the belief that they are saints who are working “for the community”. Sorry, it’s not enough. We are not going to amount to much if our ambitions are that low.
It doesn’t matter the format. This is not (specifically) about Reddit, or Twitter, or Instagram or TikTok.
This is a discussion about a model that can keep sustainable development and operations of an open web. ActivityPub as whole allows us to think in much broader terms than “replacing Reddit” or "replacing Youtube. The format of “popular social media” may change, but the fact that people will always have an interest in consuming, creating and sharing content will always be there.
You were saying “one million every week”. They hit 25 million users on 13 December. We are 4 weeks later, they still haven’t reached 27 millions. Not sure why using the actual numbers is considered silly.
Bsky having money gives them an advantage, nobody is denying that. But Mastodon had a huge opportunity the first time Musk messed up with Twitter. They were never able to create an easy enough to use solution for people to jump over, especially when microblogging relies on “high profile” posters. If Mastodon had managed to solve the discoverability issue, and convince people that it’s as easy to use as Twitter, the outcome could have been different. We’ll never know.
Okay, let’s go that route. As I said above, short video/“stories” format is king with people below 29 years old, be it Snapchat, Tiktok or BeReal https://www.statista.com/statistics/1337525/us-distribution-leading-social-media-platforms-by-age-group/
How do you plan to host video content at scale in a federated way? And if your answer is “make every teenager pay 5€ per month to get access to the network”, you’ll never get adoption.
At the end, that’s an unfair competition. We are competing with actors who can sell data and ads to make money. Most users don’t care. Those platforms make money, get more users thanks to the network effect.
I don’t really see how to solve this issue.