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Joined 16 days ago
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Cake day: January 29th, 2025

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  • I’m not sure that an international comparison would be too useful when it comes to estimate future population growth or decline, because we see a trend in many countries that people don’t marry, although they raise children. That’s not necessarily the case in China, but supposedly in many European countries. For a population forecast I would guess the birth rate (fertility rate) is a more apt metric.

    Addition: Fertility rate appears to be lowest in China worldwide, EU and the U.S. are a bit higher. You can see these and other countries here (you can search for other countries using the search field at the top of the diagram in the link).








  • There is another source related to the topic:

    With US funding freeze, China nonprofits are facing extinction. They need emergency assistance. – (Archived version)

    An entire ecosystem of vital China-related work is now in crisis. When the Trump administration froze foreign funding and USAID programs last week, dozens of scrappy nonprofits in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and the US were immediately affected. Staff are losing their jobs; some organizations face imminent closure due to lack of funding; others are paring back their programming.

    In many cases, these organisations provide our last window into what is actually happening in China. They do the painstaking and often personally risky work of tracking Chinese media censorship, tallying local protests, uncovering human rights violations, documenting the Uyghur genocide, and supporting what remains of civil society in China. They provide platforms for Chinese people to speak freely; they help keep the dream of democracy in China alive. I’m not listing the names of any specific organisations at this time, because some prefer not to disclose that they receive foreign funding. Beijing believes funding that supports free speech and human rights is interference by ‘hostile foreign forces’.

    As China’s President Xi Jinping has squeezed Chinese civil society and expelled journalists, information from inside China has got harder and harder to access. The 2017 Chinese foreign NGO law crushed US and other foreign nonprofits based in China. Some moved to Hong Kong or elsewhere. The spending freeze may deal them a death blow.