Now that AI got involved it’s on topic for TechTakes I guess. Making a containment thread because there might be a lot to sneer about this.
Boring version of of the main story: https://text.npr.org/nx-s1-5345802
Skynet declares trade war on penguins: https://archive.is/Nn5MC
Reactionary news outlet celebrates 77% drop in stock price by taking everyone else down with them: https://bsky.app/profile/brianmfloyd.bsky.social/post/3lluybov3i22o
To be fair their calculation also involves multiplying by the carefully chosen factors of 4 and 0.25. It’s a macroeconomics thing you probably wouldn’t understand. https://ustr.gov/issue-areas/reciprocal-tariff-calculations
This “Cavallo” reference isn’t actually listed in their citations (gee I wonder why) but appears to be Tariff Pass-Through at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy (link).
Meanwhile Cavallo et al 2021:
Amazing. The government’s official position is that tariffs are OK because both US exporters and importers get less money.