Impossible to say. Too many factors could still go a number of different ways. If i had to take a guess i would say it’s probably going to go on for at least another six months. And i wouldn’t be surprised if it goes on well into next year. But there are things that could happen which would shorten it considerably, such as an unexpected collapse on one of the fronts, a coup in Kiev, or the US cutting off all aid. Barring an event of that sort i don’t think Russia is in any hurry to end it, especially now that Ukraine has been evicted from Kursk. One thing i can tell you is that the Europeans are going to be wholly irrelevant to this process. They have no material capability to follow through on any of their rhetoric.