• usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml
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    6 days ago

    Wish we actually covered crime better in the news. The public perception of crime rates has been out of sync with actual crime rates for decades, largely due to how crime is portrayed in the media

    https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2016/11/16/voters-perceptions-of-crime-continue-to-conflict-with-reality/

    Or another interesting thing is how people are more likely to think that crime is up in the US overall, but not as much when they look at where they live

    https://news.gallup.com/poll/323996/perceptions-increased-crime-highest-1993.aspx

      • nublug@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        6 days ago

        no, it did not. the initial lockdown at the beginning lowered violent crime a great deal, and the rate rose back up after lockdowns were lifted, but still not to the rate from before the pandemic. this isn’t out of date; you’re remembering media reports and propagandists online intentionally misrepresenting this data by only looking at during lockdown and just after, pretending lockdowns and mask mandates and other covid response measures as causing crime.

          • Keeponstalin@lemmy.world
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            6 days ago

            This article has a lot of insight. One thing that stood out what that the methodology changed in 2021 and was retroactively applied to the 2020 data.

            Quotes

            In early October 2022, the FBI released its long-awaited compilation of 2021 crime data. But this data differed sharply in content and quality from previous years due to a transition in the way the government collects crime data. Specifically, 2021 was the first year to rely exclusively on a recently updated system for tracking crime data, the National Incident-Based Reporting System. Many agencies were not able to transition to the new format in time. As a result, the bureau received full-year reports from agencies covering just half of the country’s population. By comparison, earlier reports included a full year of data from agencies covering roughly 95 percent of the population.

            To fill these gaps, the FBI’s report on national crime trends relied heavily on estimates. The agency estimated crime trends for 2021 based on the data it had available. Then it went back to 2020 and applied that same estimating methodology as if that year’s data had been similarly incomplete. In doing so, the bureau aimed to create an appropriate “apples to apples” comparison, despite the differences in data quality. The FBI also used upper- and lower-bound estimates given the uncertainty about the agency’s conclusions, estimates we represent as a rough margin of error.

    • Keeponstalin@lemmy.world
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      6 days ago

      It makes no sense for Democrats to capitulate to Right Wing Framing on immigration, the idea that immigrants are bringing in crime and drugs are straight up lies. I don’t know why they are, the Pro-immigration messaging in 2016 was popular too

  • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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    6 days ago

    OMG, this is FAYK NOOOOZ!!! /s

    Except for a small (local) uptick in 2020 or so, haven’t they been trending downwards for decades?

    • Asafum@feddit.nl
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      6 days ago

      Fake news is exactly what the Magoos will be saying… They’ll just make up some absolute nonsense to dismiss it like “they removed tracking violence in Mexico City and Venezuela from the US statistics to make it look better for the election!!”

    • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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      6 days ago

      I had to laugh about how quickly those disappeared when gas prices went back down. I was at one gas station where someone had desperately tried to scratch it off - after it had been there for some time. I’m assuming that since no one touched it when gas prices were hitting a high in their cycle, the person that tried to scratch it off now that they were low was someone suffering BDS.

      Say…where are all the doom n’ gloom people, anyway? Inflation - down. Border crossings - down. Crime is down. Gas prices down. Oil extraction is way up, the stock market is hitting all-time-highs. Interest rates were just cut.

      I thought life under Biden was supposed to be some kind of miserable hellscape?

  • Rentlar@lemmy.ca
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    6 days ago

    This is very obviously Democrat statistics that the FBI released to help Harris’ campaign. And the deep state communist liberals slacking off and not murdering enough. /s